National Unity Government Emerges as Potential Israeli Political Option
Recent polls suggest a near-even split between Israel's governing bloc and the opposition, with neither side able to secure a clear majority. This has led to discussions about the possibility of a national unity government, particularly one that excludes far-right figures like Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich. The "Survey of Surveys" indicates Netanyahu's bloc with 53.4 seats and the opposition with 53.6, while Arab parties hold 12 seats in the 120-member Knesset.
US pressure is reportedly a significant factor influencing Israeli politics, with Washington seeking a shift towards political settlements rather than solely security arrangements. The US administration views the Israeli-Palestinian conflict as central to regional stability and believes a two-state solution is necessary for Israel's long-term security and international standing. They are reportedly "saving Israel from itself" by pushing for this approach.
Ben-Gvir's party, Otzma Yehudit, has seen a decline in polls, and tensions between him and Prime Minister Netanyahu are noted. Sources suggest Ben-Gvir has become a political liability for Netanyahu, hindering Israel's international relations, especially with the US, which disapproves of his and Smotrich's stances. While the US considers Religious Zionism legitimate, it rejects Smotrich's policies and views Ben-Gvir's party as a continuation of Meir Kahane's movement, which was designated a terrorist organization.
Meanwhile, a petition signed by 500 Israeli reserve security figures, academics, and professionals, titled "No to Racism," rejects the exclusion of Arab citizens from government participation. It calls for partners who recognize the Declaration of Independence and are willing to perform national service. This initiative aligns with Benny Gantz's stated positions, who has indicated he would not include Ben-Gvir in any coalition he leads and has conditions for including Haredi and Arab parties.
Netanyahu faces the possibility of electoral defeat but is reportedly exploring options, including delaying elections or forming a broader coalition. A national unity government with Gantz, potentially on a rotational basis, is seen as a viable option that could gain broad Israeli and US approval, provided it excludes the far-right and aligns with Washington's regional priorities, including the Palestinian issue. A minority government led by Gantz, relying on Arab support, is considered potentially unstable and vulnerable to right-wing backlash, reminiscent of past coalition challenges.
