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Full coverage· Sports· Updated

Simulation Gives Palestinian National Team Higher 2030 World Cup Qualification Odds Than Israel

A new simulation predicts the Palestinian national football team has a 12% chance of qualifying for the 2030 World Cup, more than double Israel's 5.6% odds. The model considers FIFA rankings, team stats, and qualification difficulty, noting Palestine's Asian confederation path versus Israel's European one.

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What happened

  1. 01Simulation projects Palestine's 2030 World Cup qualification odds at 12%, higher than Israel's 5.6%.
  2. 02The model considers FIFA rankings, team stats, and confederation qualification paths.
  3. 03Israel competes in European qualifiers (14 spots), Palestine in Asian qualifiers (8 spots).
  4. 04Palestine's odds jump to 32.8% if the 2030 World Cup expands to 64 teams.
  5. 05Israel is currently ranked 77th by FIFA, while Palestine is ranked 92nd.

If the World Cup expands to 64 teams, Palestine's odds rise to 32.8% compared to Israel's 8.1%.

Translated and summarized by baba from Mako, the latest report. Read Mako’s original

The coverage

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