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Full coverage· Politics· Updated

Exit Polls Show Likud as Largest Party, Bloc Totals Vary Widely

Exit polls for the 26th Knesset elections on Tuesday showed Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party leading as the largest party, though the polls presented widely differing projections for the political blocs.

3 newsrooms · 3 languages · since

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Exit Polls Show Likud as Largest Party, Bloc Totals Vary Widely
Illustration by baba

What happened

  1. 01Exit polls for the 26th Knesset elections on Tuesday showed Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party leading as the largest party.
  2. 02Channel 14 projected the right-wing bloc reaching 60 mandates, while other major polls placed it at approximately 50 mandates.
  3. 03Kan 11 and Channel 13 projected the opposition bloc at 53 mandates, while Channel 12 estimated it at 52 mandates.
  4. 04Pollsters faced statistical difficulties before the release of the results due to unexpectedly strong numbers for at least one party.
  5. 05Arab parties were projected to win between 17 and 18 mandates across the major television exit polls.
  6. 06Several lists, including those led by Ofer Winter and Yoaz Hendel, failed to pass the electoral threshold according to Alarab.

Prior to the release of the official exit polls at 10:00 p.m., pollsters faced significant challenges due to unexpectedly strong results for at least one party across multiple surveys. Journalist Ran Boker reported that this discrepancy with recent pre-election forecasts created statistical difficulties, though it did not initially appear to alter the balance between the major blocs.

Once released, the exit polls showed varying results. Channel 14 projected the right-wing bloc reaching 60 mandates, with Likud securing 30 seats. In contrast, Kan 11, Channel 12, and Channel 13 placed the right-wing bloc at approximately 50 mandates, with the opposition bloc projected at 52 to 53 seats.

According to Alarab, several lists, including those led by Ofer Winter and Yoaz Hendel, failed to pass the electoral threshold. Arab parties were projected to win between 17 and 18 mandates across the different television polls.

Summarized by baba from the reports of 3 newsrooms. Updated

Latest report: Now 14. Read Now 14’s original

The coverage

3 newsrooms on this story

Who covered it

  • LeftNone
  • CentreNone
  • Right2
  • HarediNone
  • Arab1

How it broke

See which of the 3 newsrooms broke it, and who waited