Senior military analyst says Iran likely to avoid direct retaliation against Israel
Ron Ben-Yishai said Iran is likely to avoid direct retaliation against Israel after the IDF strike in Beirut’s Dahiyeh district. He tied that assessment to progress in regional diplomatic talks, while warning delays in signing a memorandum of understanding could change Tehran’s calculus.
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- Ben-Yishai expects Iran not to strike Israel directly after the Dahiyeh attack.
- He said Tehran wants to avoid war and protect a possible agreement.
- The comments were made Sunday on Kol BaRama’s “Achat BeTzaharayim.”
- He warned that delays in a memorandum of understanding could trigger a different response.
Ron Ben-Yishai, Yedioth Ahronoth’s senior military analyst, said on Sunday on Kol BaRama that he expects Iran not to respond directly to Israel after the IDF strike in Beirut’s Dahiyeh district. Speaking with Natan Meshy and Avi Gledovitch on the program “Achat BeTzaharayim,” he said the backdrop is advancing diplomatic talks on a regional arrangement.
Ben-Yishai said Tehran is weighing its options and, in his view, wants to avoid a wider conflict. “In my assessment, Iran will not respond toward Israel because of the strike in Dahiyeh, in order not to undermine the agreement,” he said. “The Iranians want, at any cost, to avoid war.”
He also warned that the outlook could change if negotiations stall. According to Ben-Yishai, the key variable is the timing of the diplomatic process, and delays in signing a memorandum of understanding could alter Iran’s response. “However, if the signing of the memorandum of understanding is delayed, things can change,” he said.
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