ליברמן מוכן להתפשר עם החרדים - אבל יש לו מטרה אחרת | סופי רון-מוריה

The political landscape is in flux as parties grapple with the possibility of forming a new government or facing another election. Benjamin Netanyahu, despite his past reputation as a skilled politician, is seen as having miscalculated his recent public address, which alienated potential partners and may have inadvertently boosted support for Arab parties. His strategy to prevent Gadi Eisenkot from forming a government by delaying tactics and seeking to split the opposition appears to have backfired, pushing parties like United Torah Judaism to consider supporting Eisenkot's coalition.

Eisenkot himself is highly motivated to form a government, with a strong aversion to new elections, which could significantly harm his political standing and potentially lead to Naftali Bennett's resurgence. Avigdor Lieberman, despite being perceived as an adversary by the ultra-Orthodox parties, is actively involved in negotiations, seeking interim agreements on the draft exemption law. Lieberman's primary goal is to prevent Netanyahu's return to power, believing it is essential for national unity and burden-sharing.

Lieberman faces a delicate balancing act, as his party, Yisrael Beiteinu, has a strong stance on equal burden-sharing. Failure to form a government could be interpreted by voters as a capitulation on this issue, potentially costing his party votes. Other party leaders, including Yair Golan, also face risks in the event of new elections, with potential gains not guaranteed to translate into government participation.

United Torah Judaism, while wary of elections, is also cautious about supporting a coalition without clear legislative commitments on draft exemptions. The possibility of interim agreements, rather than immediate legislation, is being considered, though the long-term stability of such arrangements remains uncertain. The ultimate outcome hinges on Eisenkot's ability to navigate these complex negotiations and secure a stable majority, with the potential for a transitional government led by him if the current efforts fail.