Former Israeli Military Intelligence Chief Doubts US Ammunition Shortage Amid Iran Talks

Tamir Heyman, former head of Israeli Military Intelligence (AMAN), expressed skepticism about claims that the United States has run out of ammunition, describing it as an internal political struggle between the White House and Congress. He explained that the US military divides ammunition among regional commands, with reserves and surpluses allocated accordingly. While the US has used its allocations, Heyman does not believe a lack of Patriot missiles or other armaments is driving Washington toward negotiations with Iran. Instead, he attributes the US approach to political embarrassment and an inability to escalate military action within current constraints.

Regarding the ongoing negotiations between Iran and the US, Heyman stated that the chances of reaching a nuclear agreement are very slim, as Iran has not conceded on any of its red lines. He noted Iran’s insistence on asserting sovereign control over the Strait of Hormuz, which serves both as a financial resource and a symbol of victory. Heyman suggested that the negotiations are primarily between Oman and Iran, with the US largely sidelined and potentially taking credit if an agreement is reached.

Heyman also highlighted the US misunderstanding of the ideological and religious foundations of the Iranian regime, which remain central to its strategy and resilience despite severe economic and social challenges. He emphasized that Iran has endured significant blows from two major powers yet refuses to back down, projecting regional deterrence. Finally, Heyman commented on the recent 15-point peace council agreement in Gaza, calling it flawed but still preferable to the current situation.