Israeli Football Clubs Face Varied Odds in European Competition Playoffs

The European playoff opponents for Israeli football clubs Hapoel Be'er Sheva, Maccabi Tel Aviv, Hapoel Tel Aviv, and Beitar Jerusalem have been determined following the draws held on August 4, 2026. Football Meets Data conducted 10,000 simulations to predict each team's chances of advancing in their respective European tournaments.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva will face Red Star Belgrade in the third qualifying round of the Champions League. If they advance, they will meet the winner between Aarhus and Sabah in the Champions League playoff round; if they lose, they will face Viktoria Plzen in the Europa League playoff. Their chances of reaching the Champions League group stage stand at 16%, with a 44% probability of qualifying for the Europa League group stage. Regardless, Be'er Sheva has secured a spot in the Conference League group stage.

Maccabi Tel Aviv will play CSKA Sofia in the third qualifying round of the Europa League. If they progress, their playoff opponent will be OFI Crete; if they lose, they will face the winner between Lech Poznan and Runavik in the Conference League playoff. Maccabi Tel Aviv has a 44% chance of reaching the Europa League group stage and a 74% chance of qualifying for the Conference League, making European competition participation highly likely.

Beitar Jerusalem will face Austria Vienna in the third qualifying round of the Conference League, with the playoff opponent being the winner between Braga and Dinamo Minsk. Their overall chance of advancing is 21%. Hapoel Tel Aviv will meet Katowice in the third qualifying round of the Conference League, with Atalanta as the potential playoff opponent, holding a 10% chance of progressing.

In summary, Hapoel Be'er Sheva is predicted to reach the Conference League group stage, Maccabi Tel Aviv is favored to enter the Europa League group stage, while Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv face lower probabilities of advancing beyond their respective playoff rounds.