Israeli Football Clubs Face Tough European Qualifiers with Mixed Advancement Odds
The European competition draws for Israeli football clubs Hapoel Be'er Sheva, Maccabi Tel Aviv, Hapoel Tel Aviv, and Beitar Jerusalem have been finalized, revealing their upcoming opponents and advancement probabilities. Football Meets Data conducted 10,000 simulations to forecast each team's chances in the different European tournaments.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva will face Red Star Belgrade in the Champions League playoff if they advance past the third qualifying round, where they meet Aarhus or Sabah. If they lose, they will enter the Europa League playoff against Viktoria Plzen. Their chances of reaching the Champions League group stage stand at 16%, with a 44% chance of qualifying for the Europa League. Regardless, Be'er Sheva has secured a spot in the Conference League group stage.
Maccabi Tel Aviv will play CSKA Sofia in the third qualifying round of the Europa League. If they advance, they will face OFI Crete in the playoff; if not, they will compete against the winner of Lech Poznan or Runavik in the Conference League playoff. Their odds are 44% to reach the Europa League group stage and 74% to participate in any European competition this season.
Beitar Jerusalem will face Austria Vienna in the third qualifying round of the Conference League, with the playoff opponent being the winner between Braga and Dinamo Minsk. Their chance of advancing is 21%. Hapoel Tel Aviv will meet Katowice in the third qualifying round and, if successful, Atalanta in the playoff, with only a 10% chance of progressing.
In summary, Hapoel Be'er Sheva is predicted to reach the Conference League group stage, Maccabi Tel Aviv is likely to reach the Europa League group stage (though with less than 50% probability), while Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv are expected to be eliminated in the playoff and third qualifying round, respectively.
