IDF Intelligence Assesses Hezbollah Will Join War if Renewed
Translated & summarized from Arutz Sheva by baba
The IDF's Intelligence Directorate estimates Hezbollah is highly likely to join a renewed war involving Iran, renewing attacks on northern Israel. The organization is expanding its fleet of thousands of explosive drones, extending their range and training more operators. Hezbollah also retains an estimated 10,000 rockets and missiles and is preparing for potential ground incursions into southern Lebanon. The IDF is actively preparing for these threats, including ground attacks and drone warfare.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Hezbollah is highly likely to join a renewed war involving Iran, renewing attacks on northern Israel.
- Hezbollah is expanding its fleet of thousands of explosive drones, extending their range and training more operators.
- The IDF estimates Hezbollah still possesses approximately 10,000 rockets and missiles, mostly for northern targets.
- The IDF is preparing for potential ground incursions by Hezbollah into southern Lebanon.
- 16 IDF soldiers were killed by Hezbollah's explosive drones during the last war.
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) Intelligence Directorate (Aman) assesses that Hezbollah is highly likely to join a renewed war involving Iran, renewing attacks against Israel. This assessment, conveyed to the political echelon, suggests the Lebanese organization could join the fighting early in a conflict or shortly thereafter. The IDF is preparing for a renewed conflict on the northern border, monitoring Hezbollah's armament efforts in Lebanon. A primary concern is Hezbollah's fleet of explosive-laden drones, which the group is expanding and refining. Estimates indicate Hezbollah possesses thousands of attack drones and is training more operators while extending their operational range, with particular attention to fiber-optic controlled drones. These drones have previously harmed IDF soldiers, and effective interception methods are still lacking. During the last war, 16 IDF soldiers were killed by Hezbollah's explosive drones. The defense establishment is tracking Hezbollah's attempts to increase its drone inventory and usage ahead of potential future confrontations. According to IDF intelligence, Hezbollah operates facilities in Lebanon for assembling explosive drones, using civilian drones fitted with explosive warheads. The organization is also increasing its personnel trained in operating these drones, with dozens of Hezbollah operatives reportedly having undergone such training. The IDF also notes an expansion in attack ranges, with Hezbollah aiming to equip itself with models capable of reaching greater distances than the 10-15 kilometers previously achieved. Preparations also continue against the threat of rockets and missiles, with the IDF estimating Hezbollah still possesses approximately 10,000 rockets and missiles, mostly for northern targets. Hezbollah maintains underground long-range missile storage in Lebanon's Beqaa Valley, with Israel having previously attacked and blocked access to these depots. The organization has not yet attempted to retrieve missiles from the damaged facilities. Beyond aerial and rocket threats, the IDF is preparing for ground attacks in the security zone in southern Lebanon, including potential incursions, planting explosives, firing on soldiers, and abduction attempts, particularly during darkness or fog. A senior military official confirmed these threats are being addressed, with actions already taken against identified similar formations in recent months.
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