Pollster Doubts Lieberman's Government Will Last
Translated & summarized from Ice by baba
Pollster Shlomo Filber of Channel 14 has outlined significant challenges to a potential government led by Avigdor Lieberman with Haredi support. Filber believes such a government would face internal Haredi disputes, legal hurdles over the draft law, and opposition from within the "Change Bloc" parties, potentially leading to its quick collapse. He suggested that Bennett and Gadi Eisenkot might refuse to serve under Lieberman and could even seek to oust him or form a unity government with the Likud. The deadline for finalizing any agreement is approaching.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Pollster Shlomo Filber believes a government led by Avigdor Lieberman with Haredi support faces numerous obstacles.
- Filber suggests Lieberman's government could quickly collapse due to internal rivalries and opposition.
- Key issues include Haredi draft law negotiations and potential resistance from Bennett and Eisenkot.
- Eisenkot might consider a unity government with Likud instead of serving under Lieberman.
- There are just over 30 days left to finalize any potential coalition agreement.
A potential government led by Avigdor Lieberman, with the support of Haredi parties, is being discussed as a surprising political scenario. However, Shlomo Filber, a pollster for Channel 14, has outlined numerous obstacles to such a coalition, suggesting that even if Lieberman becomes prime minister, the government could quickly collapse.
Filber questioned on his X account whether a "left-Haredi government under Lieberman" could materialize, noting that "after a week of mass liquidation sales of all values, flags, and principles, anything can still happen." He identified David Shapira, an aide to Rabbi Landau, and representatives of the Gur Hasidic sect as leading Haredi negotiations, representing five of United Torah Judaism's seven Knesset members and five of the total 13 Haredi MKs. Filber pointed out that internal Haredi rivalries remain unresolved, hindering the formation of a unified bloc.
A key issue is the draft law for Haredim. Filber explained that a proposed temporary order would freeze conscription and arrests of Haredim for about 18 months, without quotas, exemptions, or sanctions. This arrangement would require rabbinical agreement and could face legal challenges. News 12 reported that Haredi parties are demanding legal guarantees for this temporary arrangement.
Filber also addressed the dynamics within the "Change Bloc" parties. He estimated that if Lieberman secures Haredi support and overcomes legal hurdles, he could become prime minister. However, Filber believes Bennett and Gadi Eisenkot would be reluctant to serve under Lieberman, as each considers himself more suited for the premiership. He predicted they would not help Lieberman reach the prime minister's office and would attempt to oust him at the first opportunity, leading to the government's collapse.
Filber further speculated that Eisenkot might consider forming a unity government with the Likud instead of serving as defense minister under Lieberman. He also mentioned anticipated opposition from the Likud and right-wing parties, as well as potential disappointment from Arab parties if excluded from coalition agreements. Filber concluded by noting that there are just over 30 days left to finalize any deal.
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