Gadi Eisenkot Poised to Form Government Quickly, Analyst Predicts
Translated & summarized from Zman Yisrael by baba
Member of Knesset Gadi Eisenkot is predicted to form a new Israeli government quickly, defying expectations of further elections. The author believes Eisenkot's decisive approach and the limited options for other political factions will enable him to build a coalition, potentially with the support of Arab parties. Strict conditions are proposed for any partnership with Haredi parties, including budget cuts and educational reforms. The article also downplays the possibility of Donald Trump's intervention in Israeli coalition talks.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- MK Gadi Eisenkot is predicted to become the next Prime Minister and form a government swiftly.
- Eisenkot's coalition strategy may involve Arab parties, with conditions for Haredi parties.
- The author believes Eisenkot is more strategic than perceived, planning to reveal coalition plans late.
- Former President Donald Trump is unlikely to intervene in forming an Israeli government.
- The article suggests Eisenkot's government is crucial to prevent further deaths and war.
Contrary to widespread speculation predicting another election cycle, Member of Knesset Gadi Eisenkot is expected to be the next Prime Minister and will form a government relatively quickly after being tasked with the role. The author suggests Eisenkot's perceived calm demeanor masks a decisive "killer" instinct, evidenced by his refusal to join a unity government with Benjamin Netanyahu and his call for an investigation into the October 7th attacks, with accountability for those involved.
Eisenkot's confidence, the article posits, stems from the lack of viable political alternatives for his "change bloc" partners, for whom another election or joining Netanyahu would be politically fatal. He could potentially lead a stable four-year government by securing the support of Arab parties, either through direct coalition participation or a commitment to address violence within the Arab sector and allocate resources. He could also potentially form a government with the support of Arab parties, even without their formal participation, provided they are assured of not returning to the Netanyahu era.
Furthermore, the author argues that any partnership with Haredi (ultra-Orthodox) parties must include strict conditions: a clear agreement to cut coalition funding, integration of Haredi education systems into the state system with core curriculum studies, and mandatory military conscription. These reforms, while necessary for Israel's long-term survival and to curb the growth of the Haredi population, will likely need to be implemented gradually.
The article dismisses the idea that former US President Donald Trump would intervene to broker a unity government between Netanyahu and Eisenkot, noting that Trump's political fortunes have waned. It also suggests that if Israeli elections had occurred after the recent US midterm elections, which were a blow to Netanyahu, his Likud party would have performed significantly worse, making Eisenkot's coalition-building easier.
The author concludes that Eisenkot is more sophisticated than commonly perceived and will strategically reveal his coalition agreements only at the last moment to prevent Netanyahu from sabotaging the process, potentially even through military action. The swift formation of a new government under Eisenkot is seen as crucial to prevent further civilian deaths and avoid a war aimed at preserving Netanyahu's rule.
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