Hamas Outmaneuvers Israeli Defenses by 200 Steps, Analyst Warns

An Israeli intelligence analyst, Raphael Hayoun, who previously warned about Hamas's preparations before the October 7th attacks, is now sounding the alarm about a potential new offensive. Hayoun asserts that Hamas has rebuilt its forces and enhanced its drone capabilities, stating that Israel's security apparatus is unprepared for this evolving threat. He claims Hamas is "200 steps ahead" of Israeli preparations.

Hayoun, who identified Hamas's readiness prior to the October 7th massacre and shared information with security officials, told "Maariv" that his observations are factual and indicate a significant enemy buildup. He described how his intelligence work began accidentally through hacking, leading him to intercept communications. In one instance, he overheard a conversation in Arabic, which, when translated, revealed details about an ambush plot against Israeli soldiers in Hebron. This information allowed the soldiers to alter their route and thwart the attack, capturing the assailants.

In another case, Hayoun discovered a blind spot in Israel's border security near Lebanon by hacking into a Lebanese computer. He identified a 60-centimeter area not covered by cameras, which could be used for infiltration. This intelligence was passed to the Northern Command, confirming the vulnerability.

Hayoun further detailed how Hamas has become more sophisticated, amassing funds and controlling goods entering Gaza. He stated the organization's strength is comparable to its size before the October 7th attack, with ongoing training in concealed locations. Their drone capabilities have significantly improved, posing a threat to various targets, rendering other aerial weapons less relevant. Hayoun criticized Israel's defense strategy, suggesting it relies too heavily on personnel who were in place during the October 7th attack and that the country lacks an effective defense against autonomous drone swarms.

Concerns are also mounting in Gaza border communities, with residents and civilian groups like "Atef La'atef" warning that current defensive lines may not withstand a large-scale assault. These groups are monitoring Hamas's actions and preparations, emphasizing the need to address the threat before any ceasefire agreement is considered. They noted an increase in Hamas's ceasefire violations, with 35 recorded in October compared to 26 the previous month.