Veteran Israeli Pollster Mano Geva Quits Political Surveys for Channel 12
Translated & summarized from Ice by baba
Veteran pollster Mano Geva is stepping down from political surveys for Channel 12 News after 11 years, citing significant discrepancies between his polls and recent election results. Geva, CEO of "Midgam - Consulting and Research," stated the decision was due to the emotional nature of recent elections and professional risks. This move reflects broader issues within Israel's polling industry, with other pollsters acknowledging collective errors in predicting election outcomes. Geva's firm will continue other research areas.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Pollster Mano Geva is ending his 11-year collaboration with Channel 12 News on political surveys.
- Geva cited significant gaps between his polls and actual election results as the reason for his departure.
- His firm, "Midgam," will continue commercial and social research but pause television political polling.
- The decision reflects broader concerns about the accuracy of Israeli election polls.
- Other pollsters have acknowledged collective failures in assessing the strength of Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc.
Veteran Israeli pollster Mano Geva, CEO of "Midgam - Consulting and Research," announced Friday he is taking a break from political polling for Channel 12 News after 11 years. The decision follows significant discrepancies between pre-election polls and the actual results in the recent elections. Geva cited the highly emotional nature of the last election cycle, necessitating adjustments to statistical models, and stated that his work with Channel 12 was draining and carried a high professional risk that materialized.
He clarified that the pause is specific to television political polling, and "Midgam" will continue its commercial and social research, as well as provide political services to other entities. Channel 12 acknowledged Geva and "Midgam" for their years of professional and friendly collaboration, respecting his decision and expressing hope for future cooperation.
Geva's departure highlights a broader upheaval in the Israeli polling industry. Dr. Menachem Lazar, a pollster for "Maariv," acknowledged a collective failure by pollsters to accurately assess the strength of Benjamin Netanyahu and the right-wing bloc, comparing the situation to the 2015 elections. Lazar emphasized the need for a thorough industry-wide review to understand and learn from this failure.
Mano Geva began working with Channel 2 (which became Channel 12 News) in 2015, initially appearing alongside pollster Mina Tzemach and later leading the channel's polls through his firm "Midgam." The article also references Tzemach's earlier accusations of deliberate misinformation from respondents under political direction during election campaigns.
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