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Ongoing Story· Day 2

Journalist Warns Netanyahu Could Return With 75 Seats If Minority Government Collapses

3 developments

CursorinfoPolitics

Israeli Journalist Warns Minority Government Could Empower Netanyahu

Translated & summarized from Cursorinfo by baba

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Russian · 1 newsroom

Israeli journalist Ben Caspit discussed the possibility of a minority government led by Gadi Eisenkot, which could be sworn in with support from Arab parties. He warned that if such a government falls, Benjamin Netanyahu could return to power with significantly increased support. Caspit highlighted the precariousness of relying on Arab parties, citing security concerns and Netanyahu's potential to exploit any instability.

The story in 5 lines · by baba

  • Journalist Ben Caspit analyzed a potential minority government led by Gadi Eisenkot in Israel.
  • Such a government could be sworn in with support from Arab parties and the change bloc.
  • Arab parties might support the government due to severe security concerns in their communities.
  • Caspit warned that Netanyahu's political machine would aggressively oppose the minority government.
  • If the minority government collapses, Netanyahu could return to power with up to 75 Knesset seats.

Journalist Ben Caspit has analyzed the potential formation of a minority government in Israel led by Gadi Eisenkot, outlining its procedural feasibility and potential long-term risks. Caspit suggests that such a government could be sworn in relatively quickly, requiring the support of the "change bloc" (48 seats) and an additional six votes from the 19 Arab Knesset members. He notes that overthrowing a minority government would be difficult, as it would necessitate 61 MKs actively supporting an alternative government and prime minister, potentially offering it stability.

Caspit explains that Arab parties might support an Eisenkot-led government not out of personal affinity for politicians like Lieberman or Bennett, but due to the dire security situation facing Arab citizens in Israel. He states, "They are literally fighting for their lives. Living in an Arab city or village in Israel has become extremely dangerous." Caspit attributes the increased Arab voter turnout to Itamar Ben-Gvir, suggesting the security crisis in Arab communities could incentivize Arab MKs to back a new coalition.

Despite the potential for a "compact, effective, and professional government," Caspit warns of significant dangers. He believes Benjamin Netanyahu's political machinery would immediately target the new coalition. "The propaganda machine of Bibi's supporters will not disappear; it will pounce on this government from day one," Caspit cautions.

Caspit fears that if this minority government collapses, Netanyahu could return to the Knesset with an amplified campaign against Arab lawmakers, potentially securing 75 mandates. He concludes, "In this lies the fear. Despite the promises of Arab MKs, it is not easy to count on them. In Israel, everything that can go wrong, goes wrong twice. This is a gamble for the future of the state."

CursorinfoOther · Tel Aviv

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