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Ongoing Story· Day 43

Israel, US Intelligence Assess Iran May Consider Expanding Missile Strikes

5 developments

Kikar HaShabbatSecurity

US Intelligence Detects Extreme Military Steps in Iran Amidst Escalating Tensions

Translated & summarized from Kikar HaShabbat by baba

ReligiousCharged tone

Hebrew · Sole source

Western intelligence systems have detected unusual military activity in Iran, prompting close coordination between the U.S. and Israel regarding potential military action. President Trump has not finalized a decision on a strike, but the U.S. military has developed comprehensive attack plans, including the possible use of the MOAB bomb. These developments occur amidst heightened political tensions in both countries, with Israeli elections in 12 days and U.S. midterms in 19 days. Iran's parliamentary speaker, meanwhile, has called for increased military preparedness against the U.S.

The story in 6 lines · by baba

  • Western intelligence has identified unusual Iranian military activity, leading to close U.S.-Israel coordination on potential responses.
  • President Trump has not yet decided on a military strike against Iran, but U.S. forces have prepared detailed attack plans.
  • U.S. military plans reportedly include the use of the GBU-43/B 'mother of all bombs' against key Iranian nuclear sites.
  • The heightened tensions coincide with upcoming Israeli general elections and U.S. midterm elections.
  • Iran's Parliament Speaker urged increased preparedness for a direct military confrontation with the United States.
  • Israeli officials believe Iran's actions stem from internal pressure and strategic distress, not an immediate threat.

Western intelligence systems have recently identified unusual military activity by Iran, amid growing distress within the country and the transfer of leadership to Mujtaba Khamenei. The United States and Israel are engaged in close coordination and frequent dialogue regarding these developments, though President Donald Trump has not yet made a final decision on the possibility or timing of a military strike. This was reported by Channel 12's Yaron Avraham, who stated that the Ayatollah regime's extreme measures are believed to stem from internal pressure and increasing strategic distress. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has presented President Trump with the situation and exclusive updates on events in Iran under Mujtaba Khamenei's leadership. Despite identifying these unusual steps, security officials in Israel and the U.S. currently believe the developments do not constitute an "ticking time bomb" requiring immediate, urgent action. Nevertheless, coordination between the two nations continues closely.

Israel has clarified that any military plan must not focus on a single component but must include a comprehensive strike on infrastructure, energy facilities, missile systems, and the nuclear program. This concept has also been presented to the U.S. administration as part of ongoing discussions. This situation unfolds during a particularly tense political period, with Israeli general elections 12 days away and U.S. midterm elections 19 days away, a sensitive timeline that could influence decision-making in both capitals.

Meanwhile, CNN reported that the U.S. military has developed comprehensive attack plans against Iran, including the potential use of the GBU-43/B bomb, known as the "mother of all bombs" (MOAB). President Trump has ordered the military to prepare diverse strike packages against Iran, targeting numerous energy infrastructures and key nuclear sites. These plans are intended for execution if the President orders a resumption of attacks, either before or after the midterm elections. A security official noted that the plans refer to an attack to be carried out "before the American withdrawal from the CENTCOM area of responsibility." A primary target in these plans is the fortified nuclear site "Mount Macho," which U.S. and Israeli intelligence believe Tehran uses to store critical components of its nuclear program. The presented plans explicitly call for the use of the MOAB to destroy this facility.

President Trump, in a campaign rally in Arizona, detailed the severe blow U.S. forces have inflicted on Iran's leadership, stating, "We hit their leadership hard. We eliminated the first tier of leaders, so they appointed a second tier. When we pursued and eliminated the second tier, they went to the third tier, half of which is also gone." He indicated the conflict is nearing its end, adding, "It's going to be over very soon." Trump explained the necessity of aggressive military actions and warned of Iran achieving operational nuclear capability.

While unofficial diplomatic contacts between Washington and Tehran continue, Iranian leadership maintains a belligerent stance. Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, the Speaker of the Iranian Parliament, called for increased preparedness for a direct military confrontation with the United States. In a televised speech, Ghalibaf addressed efforts to prevent further U.S. attacks, asserting that demonstrating strength is the way to achieve this. He stated that the only response to a "bullying enemy" is genuine readiness for combat, urging, "We must fight truly and bravely on the battlefield."

Kikar HaShabbatHaredi · Bnei Brak

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