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Ongoing Story· Day 42

Poll Shows New Alliances Dim Likelihood of Opposition Forming Government

89 developments

Zman YisraelPolitics

New Poll Shows Eisenkot's Party Surging Ahead of Elections

Translated & summarized from Zman Yisrael by baba

CenterNeutral tone

Hebrew · Sole source

A new poll released less than two weeks before the Knesset elections shows Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar! party leading with 26 projected mandates. The survey indicates a decline for partners in the "change bloc," with Naftali Bennett's Together party dropping to 11 mandates. The coalition bloc's projected mandates have fallen to 49, while the Reservists-Economic party crossed the electoral threshold. The poll involved 500 respondents and was conducted on October 14-15, 2026.

The story in 6 lines · by baba

  • Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar! party leads a new poll with 26 projected Knesset mandates.
  • The poll shows a decline for Naftali Bennett's Together party, now at 11 mandates.
  • The coalition bloc's projected mandates have fallen to 49.
  • The Reservists-Economic party, led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelicha, crossed the electoral threshold.
  • The survey was conducted by Yossi Tatika and Roy Schindler on October 14-15, 2026.
  • The poll included 500 Jewish and Arab respondents with a 4.4% margin of error.

Less than two weeks before the Knesset elections, a new poll indicates that the Yashar! party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, has opened a significant lead in projected mandates. The survey, conducted by political consultant Yossi Tatika of Tatika Research and Media in collaboration with the Adgenda panel led by Roy Schindler, shows Yashar! reaching a record 26 mandates, an increase of two from the previous week. This gain comes at the expense of its partners in the "change bloc." The Together party, led by Naftali Bennett, dropped to 11 mandates, and the Yisrael Beiteinu party fell to 9 mandates. The Democrats remained stable with 8 mandates.

The coalition bloc's projected mandates have fallen to 49, as the Am Israel party, led by Ofer Winter, failed to pass the electoral threshold. Conversely, the Reservists-Economic party, co-led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelicha, successfully crossed the threshold this week. If this party joins the change bloc, its total mandates would rise to 58. The poll results show considerable fluctuation, making clear conclusions about the bloc standings difficult. Arab parties collectively garnered 13 mandates in this survey.

The poll was conducted on October 14-15, 2026, with 500 Jewish and Arab respondents. The maximum margin of error is 4.4%. The survey was stratified by age, religion, gender, and region of residence in Israel. Tatika Research and Media, established in March 2025, operates in conjunction with the Adgenda panel, adhering to professional standards and control processes. Tatika has advised numerous clients in social, business, and political spheres, managing crises and advertising campaigns, and has directed political campaigns for both the right and left.

Roy Schindler holds degrees in law and public administration and policy. As the owner of the Adgenda panel, he is an expert in polling and social media. Previously, he served as the CEO of the Labor Party and has extensive experience assisting organizations, local authorities, and public figures in research, communication, and strategy.

Zman YisraelCentre · Jerusalem

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