Israel: No Intelligence Change Justifies Military Action in Iran

Israel is emphasizing that despite recent Iranian ballistic missile tests, there has been no change in intelligence assessments that would warrant a military operation in Iran in the coming weeks. Both Israel and the United States are closely monitoring a series of ballistic missile tests conducted by Iran, which are believed to be part of a slow and partial effort to rebuild its missile capabilities. Despite the heightened tensions, Israeli intelligence does not currently see a need for immediate Israeli-American military action, especially with Israeli elections just two weeks away and U.S. midterm elections three weeks away.

Israel, the U.S., and Gulf states are coordinating and preparing for various scenarios. A significant concern is the potential for "miscalculation" due to the pressure Iran is under, both internationally and economically. Decision-makers fear that Iran, feeling cornered, might interpret Israeli and American statements as precursors to an attack and launch a preemptive strike.

Reports also surfaced that Prime Minister Netanyahu discussed with President Trump the possibility of resuming military action against Iran before the U.S. elections, citing Iran's concerning nuclear activities. However, the Prime Minister's office denied pushing Trump for pre-election strikes, stating only that Netanyahu maintains ongoing discussions with the U.S. President and administration officials.

President Trump previously stated that the U.S. would not attack Iran before the midterm elections, despite ongoing "productive talks" and maintaining sanctions. He asserted that Iran would not obtain nuclear weapons and noted that oil continues to flow through the Strait of Hormuz in record quantities, with no oil originating from or destined for Iran passing through.