Netanyahu Bloc Four Seats Shy of Majority in New Poll
Translated & summarized from i24NEWS French by baba
A new i24NEWS poll shows Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party leading with 27 seats ahead of the October 27 Israeli legislative elections. Netanyahu's bloc, including potential allies, is projected to win 57 seats, four short of the 61 needed for a majority. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party is second with 21 seats. The poll surveyed 1,210 adults and has a margin of error of +/- 2.8%.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party leads a new poll with 27 seats ahead of October 27 elections.
- Netanyahu's bloc is projected to win 57 seats, four short of the 61 needed for a majority.
- Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party is polling second with 21 seats.
- The poll surveyed 1,210 adults in Israel.
- The margin of error for the poll is +/- 2.8%.
A new poll released by i24NEWS indicates that Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party is leading in voter intentions ahead of the October 27 legislative elections, projected to win 27 seats in the Knesset. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party follows with 21 seats, and Beyahad is credited with 13 seats.
Other parties in the poll include Itamar Ben Gvir's Otzma Yehudit and Yair Golan's Democrats, each expected to secure 9 seats. United Torah Judaism is projected to get 8 seats, while Avigdor Liberman's Yisrael Beiteinu and Shas are each predicted to win 7 seats. The Joint List also stands to gain 7 seats, with Ra'am receiving 6, and the alliance of Religious Zionism and Zehut also obtaining 6 seats.
Several parties, including Amkha Israel (3.1% of intentions) and the alliance of Reservists and the Economic Party (2.2%), are expected to fall below the electoral threshold. Blue and White, along with other smaller parties, are projected to receive less than 1% of the vote.
Collectively, the parties currently in Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, plus the Religious Zionism-Zehut alliance, would total 57 seats. This projection places them four seats short of the 61 needed for an absolute majority in the Knesset.
The poll was conducted on October 13, 2026, by Direct Polls among 1,210 adults in Israel, with a margin of error of +/- 2.8% at a 95% confidence level.
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