Poll Shows Netanyahu Bloc Narrowly Leading, 'Am Israel' Party Fails to Pass Threshold
Translated & summarized from Srugim by baba
A Channel 12 poll shows the 'Am Israel' party with 1.8% of the vote, far from the electoral threshold. The poll indicates a left-wing bloc of 54 mandates and a right-wing bloc of 49 mandates. A separate Channel 14 poll suggests Netanyahu's bloc has weakened to 61 mandates, a slim majority. Several parties, including 'Am Israel' and Blue and White, are projected to fall short of the electoral threshold in the Channel 14 survey.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- A Channel 12 poll shows the 'Am Israel' party with 1.8% of the vote, far below the 3.25% electoral threshold.
- The Channel 12 poll projects a left-wing bloc of 54 mandates and a right-wing bloc of 49 mandates.
- A Channel 14 poll indicates Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc has weakened to 61 mandates, a narrow majority.
- The Channel 14 poll shows Likud leading with 29 mandates, followed by 'Yashar' with 20.
- Several parties, including 'Am Israel' and Blue and White, are projected to miss the electoral threshold in the Channel 14 poll.
A new poll conducted by Manu Geva for Channel 12 indicates that the 'Am Israel' party is polling at 1.8%, significantly below the 3.25% electoral threshold. The survey shows minimal shifts within political blocs, with the left-wing bloc securing 54 mandates. This bloc includes parties led by figures such as Eisenkot (23 mandates), Bennett-Lapid (13), Lieberman (9), and Golan (9).
On the right, Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party leads with 20 mandates, followed by Deri with 8, Ben Gvir with 8, Yaakov Asher with 7, and Smotrich-Feigin with 6, totaling 49 mandates for this bloc. Arab parties collectively garnered 13 mandates, with the Joint List receiving 8 and Abbas's party receiving 5. Hendel-Zalicha's party, not aligned with any specific bloc, is projected to win 4 mandates.
Separately, a poll by Channel 14 suggests a weakening of Netanyahu's bloc, reducing it from a stable 63 mandates to 61. This narrow majority places the potential coalition in a precarious position. In this survey, Likud leads with 29 mandates, followed by the 'Yashar' party with 20. Shas and Democrats each receive 10 mandates, while United Torah Judaism and the Joint List get 8 each. Other parties like 'Be'ad', Otzma Yehudit, and the Union of Religious Zionism and Identity each secure 7 mandates. Israel Beiteinu and Ra'am are at 5 mandates, and a union of reservists and the economic party achieves 4 mandates.
Channel 14's poll also shows several parties failing to cross the electoral threshold, including Am Israel, Blue and White, Noam Le'Israel, and the Haredi public. In terms of bloc division, Netanyahu's bloc stands at 61 mandates, Eisenkot's bloc at 42, Arab parties at 13, and Hendel and Zalicha's union at 4 mandates.
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