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Ongoing Story· Day 39

Poll Shows New Alliances Dim Likelihood of Opposition Forming Government

62 developments

MaarivPolitics

Poll Shows Netanyahu's Campaign Effective, Eisenkot Leads

Translated & summarized from Maariv by baba

CenterNeutral tone

Hebrew · Sole source

A Channel 12 poll shows Gadi Eisenkot's National Unity party leading with 23 seats, ahead of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud with 20 seats, though Netanyahu's campaign is reportedly effective. Eisenkot also leads Netanyahu in head-to-head prime ministerial suitability polls. The public is divided on a potential unity government, with 40% supporting one under Netanyahu or Eisenkot. A significant majority, 58%, have already decided how they will vote in the upcoming elections.

The story in 6 lines · by baba

  • A Channel 12 poll shows Gadi Eisenkot's National Unity party leading with 23 seats, ahead of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud with 20 seats.
  • Gadi Eisenkot leads Benjamin Netanyahu in suitability for prime minister polls, 45% to 35%.
  • 58% of Israelis have already decided who to vote for in the upcoming elections, according to the poll.
  • The public is divided on a potential unity government, with 40% supporting one under Netanyahu or Eisenkot.
  • Netanyahu's campaign is reportedly effective, despite his party trailing in the latest seat projection.
  • Voters for Arab parties largely oppose a unity government, while those outside the main blocs support it.

A new poll from Channel 12 News indicates that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's campaign is gaining traction, though Gadi Eisenkot's National Unity party leads with 23 seats compared to the Likud's 20. The bloc alignments remain unchanged. The survey also revealed that 58% of respondents have already decided who to vote for in the upcoming elections.

In head-to-head matchups for prime minister, Eisenkot leads Netanyahu 45% to 35%. When pitted against former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, Bennett edges out Netanyahu 37% to 36%. Against Avigdor Lieberman, Netanyahu leads 35% to 27%. Within the current coalition's voters, Netanyahu garners significant support across all these matchups, while opposition voters overwhelmingly favor Eisenkot or Bennett over Netanyahu.

The poll explored the possibility of a unity government, finding the public divided. 40% would support a unity government under Netanyahu or Eisenkot, while 37% oppose it. Support for a unity government is higher among coalition voters (40%) than opposition voters (40% support, 40% oppose). However, voters for Arab parties largely oppose such a government (55% against), while those outside the main blocs show majority support (53%). Notably, a unity government under Eisenkot faces strong opposition from coalition voters (61% against), and one under Netanyahu faces similar opposition from opposition voters (79% against).

Regarding voter decision-making, 58% of respondents stated they have already decided on their vote for the upcoming elections, a figure higher among coalition voters (71%) and Arab party voters (80%). This contrasts with the previous election in November 2022, where 57% decided long before election day. For the upcoming vote, 25% anticipate deciding in the final days, 6% on election day, and 5% at the ballot box.

MaarivCentre · Jerusalem

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