Pollster Warns of Coalition Woes for Netanyahu Ahead of Elections
Translated & summarized from Srugim by baba
Pollster Shlomo Filber warned of coalition challenges for Netanyahu two weeks before elections, citing vote fragmentation among right-wing and religious voters. He noted that 3.5 mandates are being lost, potentially jeopardizing government formation. Recent polls show Netanyahu's bloc dropping to 61 seats, with some right-wing parties failing to pass the electoral threshold.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Pollster Shlomo Filber warned of coalition challenges for Netanyahu two weeks before elections.
- Filber cited vote fragmentation among Haredi, religious, and right-wing voters across six parties.
- He stated that 3.5 mandates from the right-wing bloc are being lost due to this fragmentation.
- This fragmentation could jeopardize the ability to form a government, bringing the bloc near 60 seats.
- Recent polls show Netanyahu's bloc dropping to 61 mandates, the minimum for a majority.
- Small right-wing parties, including Noam for Israel, remain below the electoral threshold.
Pollster and strategist Shlomo Filber has issued a stark warning regarding the coalition's prospects just two weeks before the upcoming elections, based on recent mandate survey findings. In a post on his X account, Filber highlighted a complex development for the coalition, pointing to the internal distribution of votes within the national camp and the danger posed by vote splitting.
Filber stated that "Haredi, religious, and right-wing voters are still scattering across 6 parties." He elaborated that this fragmentation leads to a critical loss of votes that could jeopardize the ability to form a government. "3.5 mandates from the right-wing bloc are being burned, bringing the bloc closer to the 60-mandate line, which it hasn't been above for over a year and a half," he wrote, adding that this presents a "not simple headache for the right-wing bloc two weeks before the elections."
Filber's analysis follows survey data that showed Netanyahu's bloc dropping from 63 to 61 mandates, the bare minimum for a Knesset majority. The survey also indicated that small right-wing parties, including "Noam for Israel," remained below the electoral threshold.
