New Party Passes Threshold, Ben-Gvir's Faction Grows in Latest Poll
Translated & summarized from Behadrei Haredim by baba
A new poll shows Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha's new party projected to win 5 seats, surpassing the electoral threshold, while Ofer Winter's party fails to do so. Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" leads with 22 seats, followed by Likud with 21, and Naftali Bennett's "Achva" with 13. The poll also revealed significant societal polarization and a public preference for new elections over a unity government in case of a deadlock.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha's new party is projected to win 5 seats, surpassing the electoral threshold.
- Ofer Winter's party failed to cross the electoral threshold in the new poll.
- Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party leads with 22 seats, followed by Likud with 21.
- Naftali Bennett's "Achva" party is stable with 13 seats, and Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit rose to 9 seats.
- A majority of voters fear the opposing bloc forming the next government.
- Most Israelis prefer new elections over a unity government in a political deadlock.
A new poll from the Kantar Institute, published by HaYom, indicates that the new party formed by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha is projected to win 5 seats, surpassing the electoral threshold. However, the poll suggests this margin is not entirely secure, given potential increases in voter turnout. In contrast, Ofer Winter's party failed to cross the threshold, meaning he would not enter the Knesset.
At the top of the political map, the "Yashar" party led by Gadi Eisenkot is slightly ahead with 22 seats, followed closely by the Likud with 21 seats. Naftali Bennett's "Achva" party shows stability at 13 seats.
Other parties' projected seat counts include Otzma Yehudit with 9 seats, HaDemocratim and Yisrael Beiteinu each with 8, Yahadut HaTorah and the Joint List each with 8, Shas with 7, Religious Zionism with 6, and Ra'am with 5 seats. A notable trend is the strengthening of Otzma Yehudit, which rose to 9 seats, while most other parties remained consistent with previous polls.
The survey also highlighted significant polarization within Israeli society. A large majority of both coalition (75%) and opposition (78%) voters expressed strong concerns about the country's future if the opposing bloc were to form the next government. In the event of a political deadlock where no bloc secures 61 seats, a majority of the public (54% on the right, 47% on the left) would prefer new elections over a unity government. The only exception is supporters of Bennett's party, who favor a unity government over repeat elections.
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