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Ongoing Story· Day 34

Poll Shows New Alliances Dim Likelihood of Opposition Forming Government

29 developments

Channel 13Politics

Poll Shows Netanyahu Bloc Gaining, Tie at Top for Parties

Translated & summarized from Channel 13 by baba

CenterNeutral tone

Hebrew · 9 newsrooms covering

A Channel 13 poll shows the Likud and Yishar parties tied as the largest with 20 mandates each, while Prime Minister Netanyahu's bloc leads the opposition 55 to 50. The poll also revealed that 63% of Israelis fear a repeat of the October 7th attacks and only 37% believe Israel won the war. A majority also favor a state commission of inquiry appointed by the Supreme Court president.

The story in 6 lines · by baba

  • Likud and Yishar parties are tied for the largest party with 20 mandates each in a new poll.
  • Prime Minister Netanyahu's bloc leads the opposition bloc 55 to 50 mandates.
  • 63% of Israelis believe a repeat of the October 7th attacks is possible.
  • Only 37% of respondents believe Israel won the war, compared to 13% for Hamas.
  • A majority of 54% favor a state commission of inquiry appointed by the Supreme Court president.
  • Several parties, including Benny Gantz's Blue and White, failed to pass the electoral threshold.
Poll Shows Netanyahu Bloc Gaining, Tie at Top for Parties
Editorial illustration generated by baba News, not a photograph of the event.

A new poll by Channel 13 News indicates a shift in the Israeli political landscape, with the Likud party, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, gaining one seat to reach 20 mandates, while the Yishar party, headed by Gadi Eisenkot, loses one seat to also stand at 20 mandates. If elections were held today, these two parties would be the largest in Israel. The poll also shows Netanyahu's bloc increasing its lead over the opposition bloc, with 55 mandates compared to the opposition's 50. Arab parties collectively hold 15 mandates.

Naftali Bennett's Together party rose to become the third-largest party with 12 mandates, followed by Yair Golan's Democrats with 10 mandates, a decrease of one seat. The Joint List (Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad) secured 9 mandates. Israel Beiteinu, Otzma Yehudit, and Yahadut HaTorah each received 8 mandates. Shas and Religious Zionism garnered 7 mandates each, while Ra'am gained one seat to reach 6 mandates. The smallest party in the poll is Ofer Winter's Amcha Israel with 5 mandates.

Several parties failed to pass the electoral threshold, including Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Ze'likha's Reservists-Economic party (2.9%), the Haredi Public (1.1%), and Benny Gantz's Blue and White (0.8%). In a head-to-head comparison for prime minister, Eisenkot leads with 44% of voter preference, though Netanyahu has narrowed the gap to 40%.

The poll also surveyed public sentiment regarding security and national issues. On the eve of the three-year anniversary of the October 7th attacks, 63% of respondents believe such an event could happen again, with only 20% disagreeing. Regarding the ongoing conflict, just 37% believe Israel won, while 13% believe Hamas won, and 50% were undecided or felt neither side won. Concerning a state inquiry commission, 54% favor a state commission appointed by the Supreme Court president, compared to 33% who prefer a political commission appointed by the Knesset.

Channel 13Centre · Tel Aviv

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