Ex-IDF Officer Sees Iran's Plans Backfiring Three Years After Oct. 7

Reserve Lieutenant Colonel Amit Yagur stated on Wednesday that the gap between the narrative promoted by Israel's enemies and the reality on the ground is widening, suggesting that the October 7th attack is proving to be a double-edged sword for the Iranian-led "axis of resistance." Speaking on the program "Israel HaBoker," Yagur argued that Iran is weakening and that significant processes are also unfolding in Europe.

Yagur noted that three years after the October 7th attack, the axis of resistance is revealing its weaknesses. He pointed to antisemitic expressions appearing in Iran and the Arab world, citing an Iranian newspaper that praised Hitler. "The mask is being torn off," Yagur said, adding that classic antisemitic motifs are being exposed, even appearing in some European parties.

He also highlighted the situation in the Strait of Hormuz as an example of this widening gap, stating that empirical data from ship-tracking research institutes indicates the strait is open, contrary to Iran's claims of control. Yagur believes this exposure signifies a broader process affecting the Iranian axis since the war began, turning the October 7th event into a "double-edged sword" for them.

According to Yagur, the axis previously benefited from a status quo that allowed it to gradually build a "ring of fire" around Israel without full-scale confrontation. However, he contends that the October 7th attack and the subsequent war have disrupted this dynamic, exposing elements detrimental to the axis beyond Israel's military actions.

Yagur also discussed Iran's diminished regional standing, noting its loss of footholds and control over Hormuz, stating it is no longer the power that once instilled fear across the Middle East. He also pointed to developments in Europe, such as the Paris police chief's statement against protests under the banner "Heil Palestine," as indicative of a growing understanding of the link between riots and the use of such slogans as a mask.

Furthermore, Yagur referenced comments by Brett McGurk, a former senior Biden administration official, to support his view that Israel's strategy of combining military pressure with efforts to secure the release of hostages was correct. He advocated for a nuanced approach, neither conceding to Hamas nor solely relying on military action, but rather integrating both paths. Yagur concluded by noting that this is the first October 7th anniversary observed without hostages in Gaza, calling it a significant achievement while emphasizing the ongoing efforts against those involved in the massacre.