Israel Targets Hezbollah Tunnels as Iran Leverages Houthi Red Sea Gains
Israel is employing its experience gained in Gaza to counter Hezbollah's underground infrastructure in Lebanon, aiming to signal to Iran that its allies' defenses are no longer secure. This strategy, according to Middle East and Iran researcher Muhammad Mazhar Shahin, involves demonstrating Israel's capability to locate and destroy Iranian-backed forces' infrastructure across various fronts. The recent destruction of an underground route near the Al-Taher mountain range is cited as an example of this approach, turning what was once a defensive asset against Israeli air and intelligence superiority into a vulnerability.
However, Shahin notes a counter-trend: while Hezbollah faces Israeli pressure, the Houthis in Yemen are strengthening their position near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. This expansion, including control over Perim Island (Mayyun Island) in the strait, grants them significant leverage over global shipping, which passes through this vital corridor connecting the Gulf of Aden to the Red Sea and the Suez Canal.
Shahin believes Iran is unlikely to engage in direct confrontation with Israel, preferring its usual proxy warfare model. While Hezbollah remains a potential tool, the Houthis' gains in the Red Sea offer Iran a new, potent pressure point far beyond the immediate region. This shift from northern to southern pressure is seen as a paradox, where Israeli successes against Hezbollah might be offset by Iran's enhanced strategic position through the Houthis.
US policy under President Trump is also a factor, with Shahin suggesting a lack of interest in a full-scale war with Iran, which allows regional players more room to maneuver. While the US has shown restraint, Shahin believes Trump is allowing Netanyahu space for independent actions against Iran-linked forces. The timing of the Houthi actions is also considered significant, potentially coordinated with Iran following assessments of limited US, Saudi, and Israeli immediate intervention capabilities.
