Poll Shows Shas Drops to 7 Seats While United Torah Gains to 9 in Israel

A recent Channel 13 poll reveals the current distribution of Knesset seats if elections were held today. At the top, Benjamin Netanyahu and Gadi Eizenkot are tied with 23 seats each, both gaining two seats since last week. Naftali Bennett continues to weaken, receiving only 13 seats for the first time. Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu holds 10 seats, while the Democrats and United Torah Judaism each have 9 seats. Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit secures 8 seats, Shas falls to 7, and Mansour Abbas's Ra'am along with Yoaz Hendel and Zvi Tropper's Zionist Home each have 5 seats. The Hadash-Ta'al alliance and Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionism party both have 4 seats, with the latter losing one seat. Blue and White and Balad remain below the electoral threshold.

The opposition bloc holds 55 seats, the coalition 51, Arab parties 9, and the Zionist Home faction 5. Among respondents, 49% are certain they will vote for the opposition bloc, 35% for the coalition, 10% are undecided, and 6% are split between blocs. In a hypothetical prime ministerial race, Eizenkot leads Netanyahu 47% to 36%, while Bennett also surpasses Netanyahu with 45% to 40%.

Regarding Netanyahu's recent trip to the United States, 43% of the public believe it was primarily election-related, 36% cite political-security reasons, and 14% mention the funeral of Senator Lindsey Graham. When asked if the visit changed Israel's chances regarding Iran, 55% say it did not, 28% see a positive change, and 4% a negative one.

A separate Channel 14 poll shows the right-wing bloc maintaining a majority with 62 seats. Likud remains the largest party with 32 seats. The left-center bloc holds 47 seats, and Arab parties increase to 11 seats. Within the opposition, Eizenkot's Yisrael party drops one seat to 22, Bennett's Yachdut remains at 7, Democrats and Shas each have 10 seats, United Torah Judaism and Yisrael Beiteinu have 8 seats each, Otzma Yehudit 7, Hadash-Ta'al 6, and both Religious Zionism and Ra'am 5 seats each. Netanyahu leads as preferred prime minister with 51% support, followed by Eizenkot at 37%, Bennett at 6%, Lieberman at 5%, and Benny Gantz at 1%. Several parties, including Yoaz Hendel and Zvi Tropper's Yesodot Israel, Balad, Zehut, and Blue and White, fail to cross the electoral threshold.