Trump's Nuclear Move Risks Rekindling Middle East Arms Race, Expert Warns

Middle East analyst and researcher Yoni Ben Menachem warned of dangerous developments following a reported U.S. decision to grant Saudi Arabia civilian nuclear capabilities without a normalization agreement with Israel. Speaking on Channel 14's "Israel HaBoker," Ben Menachem expressed skepticism about Lebanon's government and military efforts to disarm Hezbollah, highlighting the complex dynamics in the region's north.

Ben Menachem criticized Lebanon's government for presenting a false image of progress, noting that despite American financial aid and diplomatic efforts, the Lebanese army remains heavily influenced by Hezbollah supporters. He pointed out that Hezbollah strategically distances itself from the Lebanese army to create a buffer between the military and the government, undermining efforts to curb its armed presence.

The analyst emphasized the need for strict oversight by Israel and the U.S. of Lebanese military actions, citing recent failures to dismantle Hezbollah's infrastructure despite joint monitoring mechanisms. He described Lebanon's government as deceptive and doubted any genuine disarmament of Hezbollah.

Regarding the broader regional context, Ben Menachem referenced a Wall Street Journal report about a U.S. move to provide Saudi Arabia with civilian nuclear technology. He argued this should have been part of a normalization deal with Israel, as initially required by the Biden administration, but was instead reportedly granted by former President Donald Trump without such conditions. This, he warned, could trigger demands from Turkey and Egypt for similar nuclear capabilities, escalating the Middle East arms race.

Ben Menachem called the reported agreement a highly risky development that could destabilize the region further, urging careful scrutiny of the actual terms. His analysis underscores the fragile balance in the northern border area and the potential for renewed nuclear competition in the Middle East.