Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar Party Leads New Israeli Poll with 24 Seats

A recent Channel 12 poll shows that the Yashar party, led by Gadi Eizenkot, has strengthened its position to become the largest party in the Israeli Knesset with 24 seats. The Likud party, headed by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, follows closely with 23 seats. Naftali Bennett's Yachdav party is third with 15 seats, while the Democrats under Yair Golan have 11 seats, and Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu holds 9 seats.

Religious parties Shas, United Torah Judaism, and Otzma Yehudit each receive 8 seats, with Hadash-Ta'al and Ra'am gaining 5 seats apiece, and Religious Zionism securing 4 seats. The poll indicates no change in the bloc distribution compared to the previous survey: Zionist opposition parties hold 59 seats, coalition parties 51, and Arab parties 10. Without Arab party support, neither bloc reaches the 61-seat majority needed.

The survey also reveals that most opposition voters favor forming a government with Arab party support if the anti-Netanyahu bloc cannot secure a majority independently. Conversely, coalition voters largely support continuing alliances with ultra-Orthodox parties in the next government.

In a hypothetical scenario tested by the poll, where Benny Gantz and Dedi Simchi unite, Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein form a joint list, and Ofer Winter launches a new party, none of these three lists surpass the electoral threshold. Winter's party receives 2.6%, while the Erdan-Edelstein and Gantz-Simchi lists each get 1.6%.