Spanish Election Polls Show Right-Wing Bloc Leading, Potentially Shifting Israel Ties
Spanish election polls show the right-wing bloc, led by the People's Party and Vox, with a significant lead ahead of the November 29 general election. This outcome could end Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's term and potentially alter Spain's stance on Israel. Vox leader Santiago Abascal, a strong Israel supporter, has pledged to reverse recognition of a Palestinian state if his party forms part of the government.
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- Spanish election polls show the right-wing bloc leading, potentially ending Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's term.
- The conservative People's Party and the far-right Vox party are projected to form a governing coalition.
- Vox leader Santiago Abascal is a strong supporter of Israel and has met with Prime Minister Netanyahu.
- Abascal has pledged to revoke Spain's recognition of a Palestinian state if Vox joins the government.
- The election was called early, with polls suggesting Sánchez's gamble on housing issues has not paid off.
New polls released in Spain indicate a significant lead for the right-wing bloc less than three weeks before the general election on November 29. The conservative People's Party is projected to win the most seats but will likely require the support of the far-right Vox party to form a government, potentially ending the term of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, a vocal critic of Israel.
The snap election was called eight months early amid a political crisis for Sánchez's government. He had hoped to leverage public discontent over the housing crisis to bolster his standing, but current polls suggest this political gamble has not paid off.
One survey by SocioMétrica for El Español projects the People's Party and Vox together securing around 200 seats in the 350-seat parliament, compared to 108 for Sánchez's Socialist Party. Another poll by El País suggests a right-wing majority of approximately 190 seats, though the gap between the two main parties has narrowed to just two percentage points. A Sigma Dos poll for El Mundo also shows a right-wing advantage with 199 seats versus 105 for the Socialists.
A key potential shift concerns Spain's relations with Israel. Vox leader Santiago Abascal is a prominent supporter of Israel. In May 2024, he met with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Jerusalem, expressed support for Israel's actions against Hamas, and pledged to revoke Spain's recognition of a Palestinian state if his party gains power.
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