Election Polls Show Tight Race, Netanyahu Bloc Narrowly Ahead
Exit polls from Israel's 2026 elections show a fragmented political landscape with no clear winner. The Likud party consistently led in most polls, but no bloc achieved a majority. Projections indicate a close race between major parties like Yesh Atid and Yamina, with several smaller parties also passing the electoral threshold. The results suggest complex coalition negotiations will follow.
הידיעה ב-5 שורות · תקציר של baba
- Exit polls for the 2026 Israeli elections show a highly contested race with no clear majority.
- The Likud party led in most polls, but no bloc secured a decisive advantage.
- Yesh Atid consistently ranked as the second-largest party in the projections.
- Several smaller parties are projected to pass the electoral threshold, indicating a fragmented Knesset.
- The results suggest that coalition building will be a significant challenge for any potential government.
Exit polls released following the 2026 Israeli elections indicate a highly competitive race, with no single party securing a clear majority. According to a Channel 12 poll, the Likud party garnered 24 seats, while Yesh Atid followed with 22. Other parties projected to pass the electoral threshold include Yamina with 12 seats, the Joint List with 11, and Democrats with 9. Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu and Shas are expected to receive 9 and 8 seats respectively, with Ra'am at 7, and United Torah Judaism, Ben Gvir, and Religious Zionism each at 6. The bloc supporting Benjamin Netanyahu (Bibi) is projected to reach 52 seats, while the Arab parties collectively secure 18.
An i24 poll by Tzuriell Sharon presented slightly different results, forecasting 27 seats for the Likud and 20 for Yesh Atid. This poll showed "Yachad" with 15 seats, Golan with 9, the Joint List with 9, Shas with 8, and United Torah Judaism and Ra'am with 7 seats each. Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism were projected at 6 seats, with Yisrael Beiteinu at 5.
Channel 14's poll also placed the Likud at the top with 30 seats, followed by Yesh Atid with 19. "Yachad" received 11 seats, the Joint List 10, Democrats 9, and Shas 9. Religious Zionism, United Torah Judaism, Ra'am, and Otzma Yehudit were all projected at 7 seats, with Yisrael Beiteinu at 4. This poll indicated that Winter, Handel, Zelicha, and Noam would not pass the electoral threshold.
Channel 11's exit poll showed the Likud with 25 seats and Yesh Atid with 21. Yamina was projected at 14 seats, Democrats at 10, and the Joint List at 10. Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu received 8 seats, Ra'am 7, and Ben Gvir, Shas, Smotrich, and United Torah Judaism each received 6 seats. This poll also noted that Zelicha's party garnered 2.7% of the vote and Winter's party 2.2%, both falling below the required electoral threshold.
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