Shlomo Filber Says the Right Will Win Despite Polling Pressure

Shlomo Filber, a former communications ministry director general and election analyst, argued that the political right will win the upcoming 2026 election even though, in his view, media and pollsters are trying to distort the picture. He said he is sticking to professional models and exact data rather than what he called a coordinated media effort to shape public opinion.

Filber wrote that he has been analyzing the numbers every morning for months, working through dozens of updated spreadsheets and hundreds from previous years, and running hundreds of thousands of lines of code. He said he pays for checks from Claude, Gemini, Grok and ChatGPT, which he said have not found an error in his calculations so far.

He pointed to earlier times when he said he was alone against the consensus, including the 2015 election, when he says he was the last optimist and predicted the Likud would win 30 seats, and another past race in which he said he kept warning the right would win 62 seats. He also recalled the 2016 fiber-optics project at the Ministry of Communications, where he said he was later vindicated when Yoez Hendel and Liran Avishar carried out the same policy.

Filber said the current media and polling campaign is aimed at demoralization and influence operations, and he rejected accusations against him. He said a court already ruled there were no benefits and no bribery in his case, and he vowed that until the election he will publish only data, backed by high-level technological research. He said he will only return to the argument over accusations after the vote.