Huge World Cup upset turns a $400,000 bet into $4.7 million
A Polymarket bettor turned a $400,000 wager into about $4.7 million after Spain failed to beat Cape Verde. The 0-0 draw was a major World Cup upset and Cape Verde's first-ever World Cup point.
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- A Polymarket user bet $400,000 that Spain would not win.
- The wager paid about $4.7 million after a 0-0 draw.
- Spain was one of the World Cup favorites and Cape Verde was debuting.
- Another bettor lost $1 million on a Spain win.
- Cape Verde earned its first World Cup point ever.
A bettor on Polymarket made a remarkable profit after wagering $400,000 that Spain would not win its World Cup match against Cape Verde and walking away with about $4.7 million. The bet was placed hours before kickoff, when the market assigned only about a 9% chance to that outcome.
The match ended 0-0, one of the tournament’s biggest shocks. Spain, the European champion and one of the favorites to win the 2026 World Cup, failed to score against Cape Verde, a small Atlantic island nation of about 500,000 people making its World Cup debut.
Cape Verde’s point was its first ever in a World Cup, and the result was all the more striking because it came against a team expected to win comfortably. The story also highlighted the goalkeeper, 40-year-old Vozinha, who plays in Portugal’s second division.
The article also described a losing opposite bet: another user staked $1 million on a Spain win, hoping to collect $85,000 in profit. That bettor lost the full amount. The winning user was identified by the handle “Fishalive.”
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