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UAE and Iran quietly move toward a postwar thaw

By ד"ר יואל גוז'נסקי
Translated & summarized from Mako by baba
The story · English

Meetings between senior officials from the United Arab Emirates and Iran are being read as an early sign of a new regional order after the war, even though they do not amount to a breakthrough or a full reset. The contacts suggest both sides want to test a return to dialogue, in a limited version of the detente that existed before the fighting.

The UAE has long viewed Iran as its main external threat, but since the end of the last decade it has pursued a more pragmatic line toward Tehran. The 2019 attacks on oil tankers and energy facilities in the Gulf exposed the limits and costs of confrontation, while Abu Dhabi also concluded that the United States was unwilling to mount a major military commitment and that Gulf states would need to take more responsibility for their own security.

That understanding led to expanded diplomatic and economic ties, and to a model of “zero conflicts” alongside stronger defense capabilities and closer cooperation with the United States and Israel. During the war, Iranian attacks on its territory pushed the UAE to a harder line, including strikes inside Iran that Abu Dhabi did not claim, but Emirati officials still kept the door open to talks. According to the article, President Mohammed bin Zayed urged Donald Trump not to continue striking Iran, and reportedly ordered the transfer of billions of dollars in frozen Emirati bank funds to Iran last month, likely in exchange for an end to attacks.

The author argues that the recent meetings show both sides understand escalation does not serve their interests. For Abu Dhabi, the current situation is damaging and threatens the stability it needs as a global financial, commercial, and logistics hub. The goal now appears to be creating mechanisms that prevent further deterioration and allow rivalry to be managed under agreed rules. The article says this wider Gulf trend toward flexible, pragmatic foreign policy is likely to shape the postwar regional system, even if it frustrates Israel.

Read the original at Mako
Full coverage · 2 outlets
100% centerFirst: Mako · Jun 13

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