Israel Prepares for Possible Major Escalation with Iran Amid US Pressure

Israel is entering a tense weekend as the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and air defense systems have raised their alert levels in response to escalating threats from Iran. Several local authorities have opened public shelters, though this is largely symbolic at this stage. The Israeli security establishment is closely monitoring developments, preparing for various scenarios amid heightened regional tensions.

Iran has deployed missiles and a submarine in Tehran’s Azadi Square, signaling increased readiness. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump has intensified his rhetoric against Iran, threatening a significant military operation potentially larger than the recent "Roaring Lion" campaign. Trump stated that the US could act without Israel but would call on Israel within minutes if needed. The US Central Command (CENTCOM) and the IDF maintain excellent military and intelligence coordination, reminiscent of the cooperation before the "Roaring Lion" operation.

Israeli officials emphasize that despite preparations, the ultimate decision rests with Trump, who has a history of last-minute changes. Israel’s main concern is not merely whether an attack will occur but what strategic objectives it should achieve. Israeli defense circles reject limited strikes that only yield tactical gains and instead seek a decisive operation that would significantly disrupt Iran’s critical infrastructure, especially its energy systems, to exert lasting pressure on the regime.

Damaging Iran’s energy infrastructure could undermine its economy and war-sustaining capabilities, shifting the conflict from a military confrontation to a broader strategic struggle. However, such an escalation carries risks of a wider regional conflict, with Iran potentially retaliating strongly against Israeli and American interests and expanding the theater of war.

Israel aims to avoid another cycle of short-term clashes that drain resources, manpower, and public resilience without altering the strategic balance. The Israeli military is prepared for a major campaign only if it promises a clear, transformative outcome rather than temporary tactical victories. The coming days will be critical as the US weighs its options and Israel braces for the consequences of any American decision to act against Iran.