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Ongoing Story· Day 32

Poll Shows New Alliances Dim Likelihood of Opposition Forming Government

19 developments

Kikar HaShabbatPolitics

New Poll Shows Ofer Winter's Party Falling Below Election Threshold

Translated & summarized from Kikar HaShabbat by baba

ReligiousNeutral tone

Hebrew · 6 newsrooms covering

Originalסקר דרמטי: וינטר מתרסק מתחת לאחוז החסימה

The story in 5 lines · by baba

  • Ofer Winter's "Amcha Yisrael" party has fallen below the election threshold in a new poll.
  • The Joint List has strengthened to 8 mandates following the departure of Balad's chairman.
  • Gadi Eisenkot's "Yash!" leads the poll with 23 mandates, followed by Likud with 21.
  • Naftali Bennett's "Together" party has rebounded to 12 mandates.
  • Ra'am's 5 mandates are critical for forming a majority coalition.
New Poll Shows Ofer Winter's Party Falling Below Election Threshold
Editorial illustration generated by baba News — not a photograph of the event.

A new poll released by Kan News on Sunday, 23 days before the election, indicates a significant shift in the political landscape. Ofer Winter's "Amcha Yisrael" party has dropped below the electoral threshold for the first time in weeks. Concurrently, the Joint List has strengthened to 8 mandates following the departure of Balad chairman Sami Abu Shahadeh.

"Yash!" led by Gadi Eisenkot, remains the largest party in the survey with 23 mandates. The Likud party, headed by Benjamin Netanyahu, shows stability with 21 mandates. Naftali Bennett's "Together" party has rebounded to 12 mandates, recovering from a previous drop, while Yair Golan's "Democrats" have fallen to 8 mandates.

The most notable change is "Amcha Yisrael's" failure to cross the election threshold. The Joint List's gain of 8 mandates comes after Abu Shahadeh's withdrawal, reportedly influenced by discussions regarding his candidacy's disqualification and a recommendation from Supreme Court President Yitzhak Amit to step down.

Other parties' results include Otzma Yehudit with 8 mandates, Bezalel Smotrich's "Religious Zionism-Identity" holding steady at 6 mandates, and Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zehlikha's "Reservists-Economic Union" crossing the threshold with 4 mandates.

Ra'am maintained its 5 mandates, a crucial number as it is essential for the "change bloc" to achieve a majority of 61 seats for coalition formation. The poll results project Netanyahu's bloc with 51 mandates, Eisenkot's bloc with 52, Arab parties with 13, and Hendel and Zehlikha's party with 4.

Kikar HaShabbatHaredi · Bnei Brak

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