Israel's Euro 2028 Qualification Chances Rated at 23%
Translated & summarized from N12 by baba
The story in 4 lines · by baba
- Israel has a 23% chance of qualifying for Euro 2028.
- Nations League qualification path is currently unlikely for Israel.
- Main Euro 2028 qualifiers begin later this year.
- Spain, England, Portugal, and France have near-certain qualification odds.
The Israeli national football team has a 23% chance of qualifying for the Euro 2028 tournament, according to leading statistics website "Football Meets Data." This projection comes despite the team's upcoming fourth and final match in the current Nations League window against Ireland. Israel's performance in the first three Nations League games has already diminished their prospects of advancing through that route.
However, the main qualification campaign for Euro 2028 will commence later this year, offering another pathway for the team to secure a spot in the 24-nation tournament. The "Football Meets Data" website conducted numerous simulations to estimate each nation's qualification probability. Notably, the five host nations do not automatically qualify, but the two highest-ranked non-qualifying hosts will receive berths.
Spain leads the projections with nearly 100% qualification odds, followed closely by England, Portugal, and France, all at 99% or higher. Israel is ranked 33rd in these projections with its 23% chance. The team is positioned above nations such as Romania, Montenegro, Finland, and North Macedonia, but below Georgia, Albania, Iceland, and Bosnia.
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