Israeli Election Hinges on National Identity, Not Politics

The upcoming Israeli election will be defined by a single, fundamental question: whether Israeli society is truly independent or merely a collection of subservient individuals, according to analyst Amnon Abramovich. He argues that traditional political divides like left versus right, and the common "Netanyahu yes or no" debate, have become irrelevant. Abramovich urges voters to look beyond immediate concerns such as failed ministers, the cost of living, crime, and the failures of the October 7th massacre, suggesting these should not be the primary drivers of their vote.

Abramovich criticizes the current government, which he refers to as the "October 7th government," for seeking public trust despite its perceived failures. He points to statements made by ministers, such as Bezalel Smotrich's immediate post-massacre call for resignation, and questions the government's repeated claims of "absolute victory" and its rhetoric oscillating between "Holocaust and redemption." He notes that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu claims Israel is stronger than ever, while simultaneously, the military chief warns of the army's collapse.

The article highlights Israel's deteriorating international standing, with traditional allies expressing concern and some European nations, including Portugal, reportedly considering sanctions over "Jewish terror" in the territories. Portugal, which previously allowed refueling for the airlift during the Yom Kippur War, is now contemplating such measures. Abramovich states that Netanyahu is now a persona non grata in most countries, a situation unprecedented for a sitting prime minister.

Regarding the opposition, Abramovich observes that leaders like Naftali Bennett and Avigdor Lieberman possess the experience for leadership. However, he notes that polls suggest the public favors Benny Gantz, who lacks extensive political experience but is seen as the antithesis of the current prime minister in terms of integrity and personal example. The article also touches on the fragmentation of the political landscape, with numerous small parties expected to dilute votes, and criticizes the infighting within the ruling Likud party.

Finally, Abramovich analyzes potential future government portfolios, particularly the Justice Ministry, and speculates on Netanyahu's potential actions in a survival mode, even considering unlikely alliances. He also critiques Netanyahu's recent UN speech, pointing out inaccuracies and what he perceives as sycophantic behavior from his military secretary, and contrasts Netanyahu's narrative of rescuing hostages with his own government's handling of those taken on October 7th.