Political Analyst Estimates Election Outcomes, Cites Poll Manipulation

Political and communications analyst Shlomo Filber stated on Wednesday that he has met with leaders of opposition parties who claim pollsters present different figures privately than they do publicly, often favoring the right-wing bloc. Filber cited the previous election where, he said, pollsters showed parties within the room that they had 61 seats, but this was not reflected on screen. He noted that since the protests against the judicial reform began, the right-wing bloc has seen a drop of nearly ten seats in polls. Filber believes the bloc has since recovered to around 50 seats and is actively working to maintain that number, suggesting a strategy of lowering support for certain parties like Smotrich or the Haredim when the Likud or other factions gain. He described this as skillful maneuvering to keep the bloc at 50 seats.

Filber further elaborated that this situation has been in place for the past one to two weeks, but a shift is now occurring as the "main event" approaches. He observed that the bloc led by Benny Gantz, which polled at 60 seats two weeks ago, has now dropped to 54 seats. These seats, he suggested, are being transferred to figures like Ze'ev Elkin, Yoav Gallant, and potentially others, with the intention of later reallocating some of them back to the right-wing bloc. Filber expressed strong conviction that the opposition will not surpass 60 seats, but anticipates they will approach that number in the coming weeks, particularly in the final moments before the election.