Israeli "Change Bloc" Faces Internal Power Struggle Ahead of Elections

Despite a public facade of unity, Israel's "Change Bloc" of parties is experiencing significant internal friction as the election approaches. While leaders publicly maintain respectful relations and coordinate through a shared WhatsApp group, underlying tensions and past grievances are surfacing.

Avigdor Lieberman, a key figure, remains wary of potential "attacks" from within the bloc, particularly from Yair Golan, and is hesitant to appear in joint photos, preferring to protect his right-wing voter base. The most significant underlying conflict appears to be between Yair Lapid and Gadi Eisenkot, stemming from a failed political alliance in 2022. Eisenkot had previously agreed to join Lapid's list but ultimately chose to align with Benny Gantz, a decision Lapid has not forgotten.

Recent media commentary suggesting Lapid should step down has fueled suspicion within his Yesh Atid party, with some pointing fingers at Eisenkot and his associates. This alleged maneuvering is seen as more than just past resentment; it's a strategic political play. Eisenkot is reportedly attracting a significant portion of former Yesh Atid voters, creating a direct challenge to Lapid's leadership within the bloc.

The internal battle for votes is intensifying, as each party vies to maximize its mandate count. The outcome of this internal competition is crucial, as it will determine who can claim the premiership if the Change Bloc secures a majority. A scenario where Eisenkot garners significantly more mandates than Lapid or Naftali Bennett could position him as the leading contender, potentially leading to a rotation agreement or even Bennett and Lieberman forming the government with Eisenkot as Defense Minister.

Ultimately, while the bloc aims to present a united front to voters, the fight for individual mandates is critical. The election's dramatic question may not only be which bloc wins but also who emerges as the dominant force within the winning bloc, as the battle for the premiership could remain undecided even after the votes are counted on October 28.