Israel Must Rethink Military Strategy Amid Shifting Regional, Global Order
A new article published in the military journal 'Between the Poles' by former Commander of the Dado Center, Brig. Gen. (res.) Dr. Eyal Pecht, and senior researcher at the institute, Lt. Col. (res.) Dr. Itai Himinis, argues that Israel must fundamentally rethink its security doctrine in light of tectonic shifts in the regional and global order. The authors contend that the ongoing conflicts, which began with the Hamas attack three years ago and have since expanded across the Middle East, are not temporary but indicative of a prolonged period of military confrontation.
Himinis explained in an interview that this perspective contrasts with approaches that seek immediate cessation of hostilities through overwhelming force or diplomatic settlements, which he believes are less feasible given current circumstances. The changing environment, characterized by more numerous and significant threats, necessitates a sustained struggle rather than quick military or diplomatic solutions. He identified adversaries as "revolutionary actors" who reject the existing regional order and Israel's existence, citing Iran, Hezbollah, and Hamas as examples.
The article posits that Iran perceives a shift in the global order, with a decline in Western influence, as an opportunity to advance its long-term goals of regional hegemony, expelling the U.S., and destroying Israel. This perception, coupled with operational lessons from other conflicts and evolving military tactics, fuels their actions. The authors describe a transition from a neoliberal to a neo-mercantilist order, where war is re-emerging as a central element of national life globally, not just in Israel.
Consequently, the "day after" the current conflicts will not be a return to the status quo ante. The authors advocate for a shift in Israel's military strategy, moving beyond merely removing threats to actively shaping a more favorable regional security order. This involves a greater emphasis on prevention, enforcement, and coercion, while acknowledging the diminished roles of early warning and deterrence in a dynamic environment. They suggest new objectives for military action, including demilitarizing border areas, preventing enemy entrenchment, and ensuring freedom of movement and trade.
The article also highlights the changing nature of warfare, with longer conflicts becoming more common globally. The authors stress that while military power is crucial for removing threats and creating better conditions for integration and normalization, it must be complemented by non-military tools like economic cooperation, aid, technology, and diplomacy. They warn against overconfidence in military might, emphasizing that the core mission remains threat removal, but the military's role in shaping the regional order has expanded. The greatest danger, Himinis concludes, is Israel's failure to adapt quickly and effectively to evolving threats, which is an existential challenge.
