New Poll Shows Netanyahu's Likud at 18-Month Low, Coalition Gains Slight Edge

A new poll conducted by Lazar Research in collaboration with Panel4ALL for "Maariv" indicates a slight recovery for the Israeli coalition government, gaining three mandates to reach a total of 50. This shift is largely attributed to the "Am Ech Yisrael" party, led by Ofer Winter, successfully crossing the electoral threshold. In contrast, the previous poll showed the reservists' party and the economic party above the threshold while Winter's party remained outside. Now, Winter's party has entered the Knesset, while Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha's parties have fallen below it.

Despite the coalition's minor gain, the ruling Likud party has weakened, losing a mandate and dropping to 19 seats, its lowest point since May 2025. The opposition bloc collectively holds 58 mandates, with Arab parties securing 12.

The poll also shows "Yashar!" leading with 25 mandates, followed by Likud with 19, and "BeYachad" with 14. Other parties include "HaDemocratim" (10 mandates), "Yisrael Beiteinu" (9), "Otzma Yehudit" (8), United Torah Judaism, Shas, and the Joint Arab List (7 each).

Rounding out the parties above the threshold are Ra'am and National Religious Party-Identity (5 mandates each), and Winter's "Am Ech Yisrael" with 4 mandates. Parties failing to cross the threshold include the reservists' party and the economic party (3%), Blue and White (1.3%), Noam LeYisrael (0.7%), and the Haredi Public Party (0.4%). The number of undecided voters has decreased from 11% to 7.5% following the finalization of party lists.