Israel Assesses Low Likelihood of Iranian Retaliation for Hezbollah Site Destruction

Israel believes Iran is unlikely to retaliate directly for the recent destruction of a Hezbollah underground complex on the Ali Taher ridge in southern Lebanon, despite maintaining a high state of alert. A senior IDF official told i24NEWS that Tehran has "no reason to intervene in what is happening in Lebanon," but warned that any Iranian attack would trigger a swift and significant Israeli response, with the air force prepared for a major offensive. Israeli officials assess that Tehran, aware of Israel's military capabilities, would likely seek to avoid an escalation that could lead to a broader confrontation. Israel has also indicated it would respond severely to any attacks on its territory, potentially targeting Iranian energy infrastructure. A security official estimated the destruction of the Ali Taher complex would occur "without direct response from Tehran," not only due to Israeli warnings but also because Iran would likely wish to avoid a confrontation over this specific operation. However, Israel remains prepared for all scenarios, acknowledging that any potential Iranian attack might not be directly linked to the Ali Taher incident. Israel also confirmed that the United States was not involved in the decision to destroy the complex. A US State Department spokesperson stated that Hezbollah's weapons have brought "suffering and destruction" to Lebanon and that the organization hinders peace. Washington is urging the Lebanese government to implement a disarmament plan for Hezbollah throughout the country while continuing diplomatic efforts.