NBA Analyst Predicts Deni Avdija Could Become Free Agent in 2028

NBA salary cap expert Sam Quinn of CBS Sports has suggested that Israeli forward Deni Avdija might become a free agent in 2028, citing the Portland Trail Blazers' current situation. Quinn believes the team is "a sinking ship" and is not positioning itself to retain Avdija with a lucrative contract extension, potentially making him available on the open market.

Under NBA salary rules, the Trail Blazers could offer Avdija an extension in the summer of 2028, allowing him to sign for up to 140% of his current contract. However, to do so, they would need to clear significant salary cap space. Currently, Portland has four players on guaranteed contracts: Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara, and Avdija, with their combined salaries approaching $100 million. Additional potential costs include options for players like Anfernee Simons and Kris Murray, and player options for Damian Lillard and Jrue Holiday, which could bring the total to between $100 million and $180 million.

If the Trail Blazers were to trade Holiday and waive Robert Williams, they could free up approximately $44.2 million. Quinn's assessment of the team as a "sinking ship" is partly attributed to owner Jody Allen, who is perceived as frugal and has cut costs across various departments. This perception, combined with the need to potentially offer Avdija a substantial contract, could lead to his departure.

Despite these concerns, Avdija is described as a valuable player entering his prime, capable of leading an offense without ego. Teams like the Golden State Warriors, Houston Rockets, and Phoenix Suns have been mentioned as potential suitors should he become available in 2028. However, NBA contract rules incentivize players to sign extensions with their current teams, as free agency moves can result in significant financial losses compared to an extended deal. Furthermore, Avdija has expressed a desire for security, similar to the contract extension he received in Washington, and is reportedly well-liked in Portland, suggesting a strong possibility he will extend his contract with the Trail Blazers.