Hapoel Be'er Sheva Seen as Underdog Against Red Star Belgrade in Champions League Qualifiers

Hapoel Be'er Sheva advanced past Vikingur in the Champions League qualifiers and will face Red Star Belgrade in the third qualifying round. According to the latest Football Meets Data algorithm, Be'er Sheva is considered a significant underdog with only a 33% chance of progressing. The algorithm assigns Be'er Sheva a 30% probability to advance compared to 70% for Red Star. Although Be'er Sheva will host the first leg, their chances of winning that match are estimated at 32%, and only 20% for the away leg at Red Star's Marakana stadium.

The forecast predicts that Be'er Sheva will lose to Red Star and subsequently also lose in the Europa League playoff round, where they are unseeded and could face strong teams like Benfica, Rangers, Salzburg, or Pafos. This would result in Be'er Sheva playing in the UEFA Conference League. The same forecast suggests that Maccabi Tel Aviv, Be'er Sheva, and Hapoel Tel Aviv will compete in the Conference League playoffs, with Maccabi Tel Aviv and Be'er Sheva likely to qualify.

The playoff draw has not yet taken place, so these predictions should be viewed with caution. The report was published on July 30, 2026, by Sport 5.