Amir Segal Analyzes Potential Next Phase of US Military Action Against Iran

Political commentator Amir Segal discussed US President Donald Trump's recent remarks about significantly expanding military operations against Iran. Segal noted that the US has already been conducting attacks in Iran for 11 or 12 nights, depending on how the days are counted. Therefore, Trump’s mention of a major escalation likely refers to a different and larger scale operation rather than continuing the current pattern of strikes.

Segal outlined three main scenarios that Trump might be considering: a broad attack on Iran’s energy infrastructure, a significant strike against Iran’s nuclear program, or an operation related to the strategic Strait of Hormuz. The first scenario involves wide-ranging assaults on energy facilities, a move Trump had previously authorized Israel to pursue but later retracted. The second scenario could include hitting additional nuclear sites or attempting to eliminate Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile. The third scenario focuses on the Strait of Hormuz, which has gained prominence due to its global economic importance, although it was not initially central to Israeli planning before the recent conflict.

Segal explained that some of these actions could be carried out by the US without Israeli involvement. He also considered the possibility that while the conflict with Iran might escalate significantly, Israel might try to avoid direct participation. However, he assessed this as unlikely, describing Israel as a "small and active devil" from Iran’s perspective. Interestingly, Segal pointed out that Israel has recently become one of the quieter places in the region, even as foreign airlines cancel flights to other Middle Eastern destinations.

Segal concluded that there is a narrow path for Israel to avoid direct involvement, but the ultimate decision rests with Trump. He ended with a sarcastic remark about preferring to receive his updates from Israeli security officials Nissim and Aturi.