IDF Intelligence Warns Hamas Preparing for New Attack

Three years after the October 7th attacks, Israel has eliminated approximately 4,000 out of 6,000 Hamas terrorists who infiltrated southern Israel, according to Major General Shlomi Binder, head of the IDF's Military Intelligence Directorate (Aman). Addressing a meeting of the military-political cabinet, Binder stated, "The remaining two thousand, we will get to each one." Military intelligence also cautioned that the threat extends beyond those directly involved in the initial incursion. Israeli sources estimate Hamas's combat wing now numbers in the tens of thousands, similar to its pre-war strength. Hamas has consistently managed to replenish its ranks. By May 2025, Israeli military assessments indicated that despite the elimination of around 20,000 militants, Hamas had recruited enough new members to approach its pre-war personnel levels.

Amidst this, Israeli intelligence is detecting renewed signs of Hamas preparing for hostilities. The cabinet was informed of the terrorist organization's intensified training and warned of a potential new multi-front scenario. Military intelligence believes this does not necessarily signal an immediate large-scale war, but Hamas is actively rebuilding its military infrastructure and preparing for a potential resumption of fighting. The IDF has previously reported significant recovery of Hamas's military capabilities despite wartime damage.

The situation presents a paradox: despite substantial and consistent losses, the terrorist organization has not disappeared three years later. Israeli assessments suggest its current numbers may be comparable to those before the most significant attack on Israel in decades. Intelligence is now warning that Hamas is not only retaining thousands of fighters but is also preparing for war again. The scenario being discussed by Israeli leadership involves the possibility of simultaneous escalations on multiple fronts.