Poll Predicts Ofer Winter's Party Will Fail to Pass Knesset Threshold

A new poll by Kan 11, conducted by the Kantar Institute and released Sunday, indicates that the party led by Ofer Winter, Amcha Israel, would not pass the electoral threshold if elections were held today. The survey projects Winter's party would receive votes equivalent to 2.6 Knesset seats. This is the first poll to measure Winter's electoral prospects since he announced his intention to run for the Knesset in late August.

The poll also shows that the bloc led by Benny Gantz would receive 52 seats, one seat ahead of the bloc led by Benjamin Netanyahu, which garners 51 seats. Arab parties collectively would win 13 seats. The party of Yoaz Hendel and Ze'ev Elkin, which was not included in the bloc calculations, is projected to receive four seats.

Within the main blocs, Gantz's party (Yisrael Beiteinu) and the Likud party, led by Netanyahu, maintain their current strength at 23 and 21 seats respectively. The party led by Yair Lapid and Naftali Bennett, named "Achva", gains one seat to reach 12. Israel Beiteinu is projected to win nine seats, while the Democrats weaken to eight seats.

Other parties showing gains of one seat include Otzma Yehudit, Shas, United Torah Judaism, and the Joint List, each reaching eight seats. The Religious Zionism party is predicted to receive six seats, Ra'am five, and the reservists and economic list of Hendel and Elkin four seats. Similar to the previous Kan 11 poll, Benny Gantz's Blue and White party and the Haredi Public party also fail to pass the electoral threshold.

The survey included 553 respondents, with a margin of error of 4.2%.