IDF Prepares for Next Gaza Scenario, Citing Hamas Kidnapping Threat

A senior Israeli military official has warned that Hamas may attempt to abduct soldiers to use as bargaining chips, while also revealing hundreds of thwarted attacks since the last ceasefire. The official indicated that Israel might face another round of fighting in Gaza.

"I believe if there is something he desires, it is to abduct soldiers because that is a bargaining chip for him. We believe this is a possible modus operandi for him, and we are working to prevent it," the official stated, referring to Hamas's potential strategy. The military is focusing on strengthening defenses, enhancing the "yellow line" (likely referring to border security), and preparing forces for immediate response.

Efforts are also underway to prevent Hamas's rearmament by targeting active members involved in its buildup. "There is a defense axis and an offense axis, we are operating on both," the official explained, highlighting the synergy between the Southern Command and the General Staff during the prolonged conflict.

Since the ceasefire in October 2025, the military has conducted continuous operations, neutralizing over 700 operatives, including squad commanders and brigade commanders, to prevent attacks on Israeli forces and the movement of terrorists near the border. The official suggested Hamas has refrained from retaliating against these actions to avoid giving Israel further justification for military operations.

The military anticipates that Hamas will find it very difficult to infiltrate Israeli communities due to extensive security measures. Regarding tunnel reconstruction, the IDF is actively working to destroy all underground structures east of the "yellow line" and is systematically locating and demolishing any tunnels crossing this boundary.

Lessons learned from the October 7, 2023, failures include maintaining immediate and lethal reserve forces across all fronts and bolstering operational capabilities with enhanced lethality, protection, and improved outpost and command center readiness. The official estimated that another military engagement in Gaza is likely, potentially leading to Hamas's disarmament either through a political settlement or forceful military action. While no immediate change is apparent, the official believes a clearer picture will emerge in the coming months.