New Poll Shows Right-Wing Bloc Gains, Opposition Bloc Weakens

A new poll conducted by Maariv indicates a shift in the Israeli political landscape, with the right-wing bloc gaining two mandates to reach 51, while the "change bloc" (opposition) has weakened by two mandates to 53. The coalition bloc now stands at 51 mandates, compared to the opposition bloc's 53. The poll also shows the "Yashr!" party leading with 21 mandates, followed by the Likud with 19. Other parties showing gains include Yahadut HaTorah and Shas, each with 7 mandates. The Religious Zionism-Identity party has weakened to 5 mandates. Notably, the "Reservists" and "Amcha Israel" parties are projected to pass the electoral threshold, each receiving 4 mandates, though they remain in a precarious position. Parties failing to cross the threshold, including "Blue and White," "The Haredi Public," "Noam," and "Tzomet Beit Israel," are polling below 1% of the vote. The percentage of undecided voters has decreased to 6.4%.

In addition to political projections, the survey reveals significant public anxiety regarding security. A substantial 67% of Israelis expressed concern or extreme concern about a security event on the scale of October 7, 2023. Only 26% stated they were not concerned, with 7% unsure. This fear is prevalent among both coalition (65%) and opposition (77%) voters, though the intensity varies.