Iran May Escalate Military Action Soon to Pressure Trump

Iran could initiate a military escalation in the coming weeks to pressure U.S. President Donald Trump, according to Dr. Eli David, an expert speaking on Galei Israel radio. David believes Iran's window of opportunity to influence Washington is closing, particularly after the U.S. midterm elections, after which he predicts Iran will lose its leverage over Trump. "The Iranians know that after the midterm elections, they will no longer have any leverage over President Trump," David stated. "He will be able to do whatever he wants with them." Consequently, David suggests the Iranian regime might act preemptively to avoid losing control of the situation. "In the coming weeks, they may, on their own initiative, inflame the situation to drive up oil prices and pressure President Trump," the analyst speculated, adding that Trump himself understands this dynamic and "may not necessarily want to wait."

David's assessment indicates that Tehran's potential target could be not only military escalation but also the global energy market. A sharp rise in oil prices could increase pressure on Washington and raise the political cost for the White House of maintaining a hard line against Iran. This analysis comes amid ongoing tensions surrounding Iran. Israel's security establishment has reportedly been on heightened alert for sudden developments and is preparing for various confrontation scenarios with Tehran. However, David's assessment is presented as an analytical scenario based on the presumed political and economic calculations of the Iranian leadership, not a certainty of war. If his assessment proves correct, the period leading up to the U.S. midterm elections could be the most dangerous, as Tehran might attempt a final play to influence oil prices while Washington can still be compelled to consider this factor.